For all of the fears surrounding the speedy growth of synthetic intelligence (AI), the event of synthetic common intelligence (AGI) is not less than 10 years away, in line with Robin Li, co-founder and CEO of Baidu.
AGI refers to hypothetical synthetic intelligence techniques that can far surpass human cognitive talents sooner or later, which is already inflicting widespread concern — with some pointing to the existential threat AGI poses to humanity.
Lee stated throughout a panel dialogue at Viva Tech Paris 2024:
“AGI continues to be fairly a couple of years away, I believe greater than 10 years… Strongest right now [AI] fashions are removed from it. We do not but know tips on how to obtain that stage of intelligence.”
The prediction comes shortly after Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin stated OpenAI’s generative synthetic intelligence mannequin GPT-4 handed the Turing Take a look at, a nebulous benchmark for synthetic intelligence techniques designed to find out how human-like a conversational mannequin is.
In response to Li, Baidu is one among China’s main massive language mannequin (LLM) builders, and has about 200 million synthetic intelligence customers.
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Fixing urgent social issues is the trail to AGI
Whereas the controversy continues over the effectiveness of open and closed AI growth, builders ought to primarily deal with utilizing the expertise to unravel urgent human issues, which can ultimately result in AGI, in line with Lee. He stated:
“Deciding [societal problems] you can enhance the bottom mannequin, which is getting nearer and nearer to AGI.”
Though the primary AGI that resembles human intelligence could take one other decade, the event might resolve the issues related to the present inhabitants decline.
“When synthetic intelligence turns into as good as people, we are going to resolve a human drawback…Generative AGI can have the efficiency of a billion individuals. I do not know who will come first, however everybody’s life will enhance.”
Billionaire tech entrepreneur Elon Musk is among the most well-known individuals to precise concern about inhabitants decline. In an X message from August 2022, Musk wrote:
“Inhabitants collapse on account of low start charges is a far better hazard to civilization than world warming.”
In response to Worldometer, annual world inhabitants development has fallen to 0.91% in 2024 from 1.28% simply 20 years in the past in 2004.
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